The mayor of Futaba has told residents they may need to stay away for “a generation” citing the half life of cesium 137 at 30 years. He also mentioned return would not be possible until levels were at “1 millisievert” possibly referring to the 1mSv/year guidelines of ICRP.
Parts of Futaba are at 50mSv/year. If you start with 50 msv/yr you need between 5-6 half lives (32-64) to get down to 1 msv/year. Higher level areas in Futaba could take 64 years or more to become safe if you include the higher readings and hot spots around town. Someone who is 40 years old today would be 70 years old at the earliest return date when rebuilding the town could begin. 30 years would cause extensive collapse to the structures and systems of the town. Parts of Gary Indiana that were neglected and abandoned for 30 years were largely destroyed over that time.
The mayor said he would dedicate those 30 years to social support services for the now homeless residents of the town. To date the national government has done little to deal with the question of who can return home leaving many in limbo for almost 2 years.
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